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論文中文名稱:Economic Analysis of How GDP, Oil Price, Exchange Rate and Trade Balance Affect Paraguayan Exports to Taiwan [以論文名稱查詢館藏系統]
論文英文名稱:Economic Analysis of How GDP, Oil Price, Exchange Rate and Trade Balance Affect Paraguayan Exports to Taiwan [以論文名稱查詢館藏系統]
院校名稱:臺北科技大學
學院名稱:管理學院
系所名稱:管理國際學生碩士專班 (IMBA)
畢業學年度:103
畢業學期:第二學期
出版年度:104
中文姓名:艾力齊
英文姓名:Rodrigo Elizeche
研究生學號:102988019
學位類別:碩士
指導教授中文名:林鳳儀
指導教授英文名:Dr. Feng-Yi Lin
口試委員中文名:黃俊閎 、閔辰華
中文關鍵詞:Imports, Export, GDP, Oil Price, Exchange Rate, Linear Regression.
英文關鍵詞:Imports, Export, GDP, Oil Price, Exchange Rate, Linear Regression.
論文中文摘要:International Trade in goods and services has grown rapidly through years. As a result, the world’s trading nations have become more integrated. The cause of this rapid increase can be attributed to the rise in incomes. Demand for goods and services of the world’s leading economies and the reduction of obstacles on trade, basically after the establishment of institutions like the World Trade Organization (WTO) helped to improve the trade system and also to create agreement between countries. Of course, every time someone wants to buy or sell something there are different factors who can affect the creation and the intensity of international trade.

The objective of this research is to understand what factors would affect Paraguayan export to Taiwan and how do they affect. The motivation is using the results so can improve the intensity and fluctuation of goods and services. In this case, we are going to focus in the period 2003 – 2012.

Since we are using the relation between Paraguay and Taiwan and the amount of export Paraguay did since 2003 to 2012 we consider five variables: GDP, Oil Price, Exchange Rate, imports in Taiwan and Exports in Taiwan.
All the factors encountered provide information and opportunities to improve the international trade condition between Paraguay and Taiwan. They will help future exporters to put them into consideration before making investment decision.
論文英文摘要:International Trade in goods and services has grown rapidly through years. As a result, the world’s trading nations have become more integrated. The cause of this rapid increase can be attributed to the rise in incomes. Demand for goods and services of the world’s leading economies and the reduction of obstacles on trade, basically after the establishment of institutions like the World Trade Organization (WTO) helped to improve the trade system and also to create agreement between countries. Of course, every time someone wants to buy or sell something there are different factors who can affect the creation and the intensity of international trade.

The objective of this research is to understand what factors would affect Paraguayan export to Taiwan and how do they affect. The motivation is using the results so can improve the intensity and fluctuation of goods and services. In this case, we are going to focus in the period 2003 – 2012.

Since we are using the relation between Paraguay and Taiwan and the amount of export Paraguay did since 2003 to 2012 we consider five variables: GDP, Oil Price, Exchange Rate, imports in Taiwan and Exports in Taiwan.
All the factors encountered provide information and opportunities to improve the international trade condition between Paraguay and Taiwan. They will help future exporters to put them into consideration before making investment decision.
論文目次:Contents
List of Table vi
List of Figure vii
1.1 Research Background 1
1.2. A Brief Introduction of PARAGUAY 1
1.2.1. Economic Development in Paraguay 4
1.2.2Paraguay GDP Growth rate 4
1.3 Paraguay and Taiwan Relationship 5
1.4 Motivation 5
1.5 Research Objectives 6
1.6 Research Structure 6
Chapter 2: LITERATURE REVIEW 8
2.1Paraguay foreign trade 8
2.2 MERCOSUR Free trade agreements 12
2.3Free trade zone regime 13
2.4 Factors that affect the demand of Exports 13
2.4.1 Gross Domestic Product. 14
2.4.2 Oil Price 15
2.4.3 Exchange Rate 16
2.4.4 Total Imports of Taiwan 17
2.4.5 Total Exports of Taiwan 18
Chapter 3: Methodology 20
3.1 Theoretical Framework 20
3.2 Statistical Model 21
3.3 Sample Data 22
3.4 Variables. 23
3.5. Research assumptions 25
Chapter 4: Data Analysis 26
4.1 Data 26
4.2 Regression Analysis. 27
4.3 Empirical Results. 28
Chapter 5: Conclusions 40
5.1 Conclusion. 40
5.2. Research Limitations 41
5.3 Suggestions 41
References 42
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論文全文使用權限:同意授權於2015-08-11起公開