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論文中文名稱:尼加拉瓜市場的出口部門的國內生產總值,居民消費價格指數,匯率出口產生影響 [以論文名稱查詢館藏系統]
論文英文名稱:An Impact of Gross Domestic Product, Consumer Price Index, Exchange Rate and Exports on the Imports Sector in the Nicaraguan Market. [以論文名稱查詢館藏系統]
院校名稱:臺北科技大學
學院名稱:管理學院
系所名稱:管理國際學生碩士專班 (IMBA)
畢業學年度:102
出版年度:103
中文姓名:涂安杰
英文姓名:Andres Noel Turcios Guido
研究生學號:101988014
學位類別:碩士
語文別:英文
口試日期:2014-06-17
論文頁數:82
指導教授中文名:林鳳儀
指導教授英文名:Frances Lin
口試委員中文名:趙莊敏;閔辰華;梁德容
口試委員英文名:Grace Zhao;Jennifer Min;Deron Lin
中文關鍵詞:多元回歸分析國內生產總值居民消費價格指數進口需求匯率出口對外貿易
英文關鍵詞:Multiple regressionGDPConsumer Price IndexImports demandExchange rateExportsForeign trade
論文中文摘要:由於過去幾年,尼加拉瓜的國際交流經歷了一個非常穩定的增長步伐。有很多的影響這一結果的因素,但我們需要進一步研究,可以看出,他們的進口和出口的和不穩定的增長過程中的增長速度同期吃虧。
本文包括使用多元線性回歸來分析這些因素的影響,並了解與進口需求的變量的關係。這些變量可以共同提名為國內生產總值(GDP),居民消費價格指數(CPI),匯率和滯後出口。這項研究的結果,通過使用我們提出的模型,它的希望來演示的決定因素對進口尼加拉瓜的需求的相關性。
此外,所有需要此研究的數據將被從2005至2013年期間收集的三個月裡,為了有一個更好的了解,並評估在進口的尼加拉瓜市場的需求,這些因素的影響
論文英文摘要:Since the last couple of years, Nicaragua’s international exchange has undergone a very steady growth pace. There are a lot of factors that influence this result, but as we take a further look, it can be observed that their imports and their exports have suffer from and unstable growth during the same period of growth pace.
This paper involves the use of multiple linear regression to analyze the impact of these factors and understand the relation of the variables with the demands of imports. These variables can be commonly nominated as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Consumer Price Index (CPI), exchange rate and lagged exports. With the result of this study and by using our proposed model, it’s hoped to demonstrate the relevance of the determinants towards the demand of imports in Nicaragua.
Furthermore, all the data required for this study will be gathered from the periods of 2005-2013 by trimester, in order to have a better understanding and to evaluate the impact of these factors in the demand of imports in the Nicaraguan market.
論文目次:ABSTRACT iii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT iv
Table of Content v
List of Table vii
List of Figure viii
Chapter 1: Introduction 1
1.1 Research Background 1
1.2 Motivation 5
1.3 Research Problem 5
1.4 Research Objectives 6
1.5 Research Structure 7
Chapter 2: Literature Review 8
2.1 Nicaragua’s Market and Trade. 8
2.2 Factors that affect the demand of imports 16
2.2.1 GDP 17
2.2.2 Exchange rate 18
2.2.3 Consumer price index 18
2.2.4 Exports 19
2.4 Theoretical Framework 19
Chapter 3: Methodology 24
3.1 Statistical Model 24
3.2 Sample Data 25
3.2.1 Factors Structuration for the Nicaraguan Market. 26
3.2.1.1 GDP 26
3.2.1.2 Exchange rate 27
3.2.1.3 Consumer Price Index 28
3.2.1.4 Exports 29
3.3 Research Hypothesis 30
Chapter 4: Data Analysis 31
4.1Data 31
4.2 Empirical Results 33
4.2.1 Exports and Imports Sector 39
4.2.2 Consumer’s price index and Imports sector 41
4.2.3 Gross Domestic Product and Imports sector 43
4.2.4 Exchange rate and Imports sector 44
Chapter V: Conclusions 47
5.1 Conclusions 47
5.2 Research Limitations. 48
5.3 Contribution 49
5.4 Suggestions 50
References 51
Appendix: 58
Linear regresion and Statistical deffinitions 58
Tables: Data, coefficients and factors regression 69
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論文全文使用權限:同意授權於2014-07-24起公開