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論文中文名稱:尼加拉瓜市場的出口部門的國內生產總值,居民消費價格指數,匯率出口產生影響 [以論文名稱查詢館藏系統]
論文英文名稱:An Impact of Gross Domestic Product, Consumer Price Index, Exchange Rate and Exports on the Imports Sector in the Nicaraguan Market. [以論文名稱查詢館藏系統]
系所名稱:管理國際學生碩士專班 (IMBA)
英文姓名:Andres Noel Turcios Guido
指導教授英文名:Frances Lin
口試委員英文名:Grace Zhao;Jennifer Min;Deron Lin
英文關鍵詞:Multiple regressionGDPConsumer Price IndexImports demandExchange rateExportsForeign trade
論文英文摘要:Since the last couple of years, Nicaragua’s international exchange has undergone a very steady growth pace. There are a lot of factors that influence this result, but as we take a further look, it can be observed that their imports and their exports have suffer from and unstable growth during the same period of growth pace.
This paper involves the use of multiple linear regression to analyze the impact of these factors and understand the relation of the variables with the demands of imports. These variables can be commonly nominated as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Consumer Price Index (CPI), exchange rate and lagged exports. With the result of this study and by using our proposed model, it’s hoped to demonstrate the relevance of the determinants towards the demand of imports in Nicaragua.
Furthermore, all the data required for this study will be gathered from the periods of 2005-2013 by trimester, in order to have a better understanding and to evaluate the impact of these factors in the demand of imports in the Nicaraguan market.
論文目次:ABSTRACT iii
Table of Content v
List of Table vii
List of Figure viii
Chapter 1: Introduction 1
1.1 Research Background 1
1.2 Motivation 5
1.3 Research Problem 5
1.4 Research Objectives 6
1.5 Research Structure 7
Chapter 2: Literature Review 8
2.1 Nicaragua’s Market and Trade. 8
2.2 Factors that affect the demand of imports 16
2.2.1 GDP 17
2.2.2 Exchange rate 18
2.2.3 Consumer price index 18
2.2.4 Exports 19
2.4 Theoretical Framework 19
Chapter 3: Methodology 24
3.1 Statistical Model 24
3.2 Sample Data 25
3.2.1 Factors Structuration for the Nicaraguan Market. 26 GDP 26 Exchange rate 27 Consumer Price Index 28 Exports 29
3.3 Research Hypothesis 30
Chapter 4: Data Analysis 31
4.1Data 31
4.2 Empirical Results 33
4.2.1 Exports and Imports Sector 39
4.2.2 Consumer’s price index and Imports sector 41
4.2.3 Gross Domestic Product and Imports sector 43
4.2.4 Exchange rate and Imports sector 44
Chapter V: Conclusions 47
5.1 Conclusions 47
5.2 Research Limitations. 48
5.3 Contribution 49
5.4 Suggestions 50
References 51
Appendix: 58
Linear regresion and Statistical deffinitions 58
Tables: Data, coefficients and factors regression 69
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